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Using methods of control theory and models of kinetics of physicochemical processes in analysis and forecasting the development of economic systems

Varshavsky L.E.

доктор экономических наук, Москва, Центральный экономико-математический институт РАН, hodvar@yandex.ru

Анализ и моделирование экономических и социальных процессов Ижевск: Научно-издательский центр "Регулярная и хаотическая динамика", 2025. 148pp. Pp. 49-65.

DOI: 10.20537/mce2025econ04

The article considers examples of using control theory methods and models of physical and chemical systems in studying economic systems. Examples of applying standard control theory methods to problems of studying strategies of catching-up economic agents, as well as the impact of sanctions and import substitution on market indicators are considered. A model of nuclear reactor kinetics is used to analyze the relationship between research and development volumes and patent activity. Examples of using dynamic game models are given in relation to problems of analyzing indicators of the passenger air transportation market, forecasting the dynamics of microprocessor market indicators, analyzing the impact of introducing a forward market on indicators of electricity market development, and studying the evolution of the high-tech products market with a catching-up participant.



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