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Abstracts

XVI conference

Dinamics of an economic condition from positions synergetics

Schwarzman M.M.

Russia, Rostov-on-Don 344006, Sedova 8, k.3, Tel/Fax (863)2694496; E-mail: black_drive@smtp.ru

2 pp. (accepted)

In this work the reasons which have caused an unstable condition of our economy are analyzed from the positions of synergetics. The direction of the appendix of resources which should promote transition of economy in a stable condition is offered. The synergetics studies processes of self-organization /non self-organization in open non-linear systems. Therefore the suggested approach is the most common.

The unstable condition of our economy is evidently reflected on schedules in the article by G. Malinetskiy: «High technologies are a chance for Russia», Works by Pushchino - 2007, p. 14-42. The symmetric schedule describes the distribution of incomes in the country with stable market economy; dissymmetric (there is no middle class) – is for the country with unstable economy.

For the analysis of economy positions from the book by E. Knyazeva and

S. Kurdyumov: Bases of synergetics. Sinergetic world outlook. - M.: Kom Kniga, 2005.

The author of article supplements scripts of behaviour of system in blow-up processes. Interpretation of principles is given: dissymmetrics, coherence, feedback, increasing probability, mutation, hysteresis, potential barrier - reference to a stable/unstable condition of system.

E. Gajdar, directing on economy to free unmanned navigation, thought, that laws of market economy at once would start to work. He did not consider, in particular, a principle of a hysteresis. The system cannot, having jumped through some necessary conditions to form steady structure. As a result economic relations inverse to attitudes relations of market economy were formed due to this chaos.

In any economy there is a triad: corruption, economic criminal, bureaucracy. This is because any system has the beginning of destroying itself. But in a stable society the economy is the determining factor, and a triad - to the subordinates, expecting its time. In inverse economy the triad is the determining factor, and the economy is necessary for a triad only as environment for comfortable existence. Therefore any decision directed in thoughts to improvement of an economic situation in the country, first of all is used by a triad for the additional charging, and then with the changed essence gets in economy.

National projects having their vernal appeal, are capable to remove temporarily only subsystems (health, birth rate, education, housing and communal services …) from the position of balance. Then subsystems will fall again to former condition because nothing has changed in the economic system. It is necessary to direct the basic resources: (administrative, financial, human) to create the middle class. It normalizes an economic condition of system, and then - its subsystems.



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